Volatility
Realized Volatility
Realized variance from high-frequency returns.
Status production · Version 1.1 · Jun 2026
P(Xₜ₊₁ | Xₜ)
Illustrative distribution, not a live forecast.
Bull 34%
Neutral 41%
Bear 25%
Overview
Realized volatility sums squared returns over a window. It describes what already happened.
Figures on this page are model output examples. They are estimated distributions, not a statement of where the market will trade.
Inputs
| Asset | BTCUSDT |
| Window | 1d |
Outputs
- RV
- Window
Model statistics
Published as quality of the estimate. Directional accuracy is not the headline for a probabilistic model.
- Status
- Production
Validation
- OOS
Data sources
ArcDelta: trades, order book, open interest, funding, OHLCV.
Access
From $49 / month. Included runs, path limits, and API access follow the Labs tier on the TreVmS account. Individual metrics are not sold separately.
